Middle East Economic News and Strategic Planning

Israel reacted with alarm to both the U.S. choice to lift sanctions on Syria and President Trump's conference with Ahmed al-Sharaa. Given that the fall of the Assad program in December 2024, Israel has actually been wary of the former jihadist now in control in Damascus.

It has also released soldiers in southern Syria, occupying an increasing area beyond the demilitarized zone separating the 2 countries. Going forward, Israel will remain wary of the Sharaa government and will likely continue to use military pressure on Syria, including an expanded profession of southern Syria and occasional air campaign.

Israel's openness to the Trump administration's efforts to broker a nonaggression pact between Israel and Syria stays an open concern. Given that the fall of Assad in December 2024, Saudi Arabia has lobbied hard for the United States to raise Syria sanctions, mentioning them as a key barrier to the country's restoration.

For MBS, the U.S. choice stood as an important victory emerging from Trump's journey. Moving forward, Saudi Arabia will likely motivate the United States to continue along its path toward normalization with Syria. It may push for the repeal of the Caesar sanctions, which must be undertaken by Congress. Riyadh may also push the United States to rein in Israel, needs to it continue with aggressive military action in Syria.

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Regardless of expanding domestic and global criticism of Israel's approach, the prime minister has not fluctuated in his broadening occupation of Gaza in the absence of any U.S. pressure. Indeed, the prime minister appears to bask in U.S. assistance, without any hint of a shift in policy. Moving forward, Netanyahu can be anticipated to continue along the very same trajectory in Gaza, particularly considering that a remarkable shift in U.S.

On the contrary, as the worldwide protest against Israel's actions in Gaza grows and with an increasing number of U.S. allies transferring to state a Palestinian state, Israel is likely to entrench its position even more, boosted by the prospect of continued U.S. support. The Trump administration announced its decision to reject visas to the Palestinian Authority leadership ahead of the UN General Assembly, relatively in action to installing calls for stating a Palestinian state.

Trump's proposal and restated its refusal to stabilize relations with Israel in the lack of substantial progress towards the creation of a Palestinian state. The kingdom has actually also highly slammed Israel for the lack of appropriate aid streaming into Gaza.

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Its leading role in promoting a two-state service at the 80th UN General Assembly stands as its most popular effort in this regard. The kingdom will likely continue its behind-the-scenes lobbying of the United States to press Israel to relent on these needs, holding out on any progress towards normalization with Israel in the absence of motion on these issues.

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Its engagement in the Middle East is shaping the contours of the emerging regional orderwhether by default or design. Particularly, its choices on Iran, Syria, and Gaza all touch on core difficulties in the region and hold the prospective to move each in a positive instructions. Yet, danger and deepening conflict base on the flip side of each opportunity.

As worldwide trade patterns straighten, a new financial investment passage is taking shape, connecting capital from the Gulf to Latin America. Sovereign wealth funds, conglomerates, and household offices from the Gulf Cooperation Council ("") are investing billions across Latin America's energy, agriculture, fintech, and facilities sectors. Trade in between Mexico and GCC states increased more than 33% between 2021 and 2022, while non-oil trade with the UAE has actually almost folded the past decade.

3 Service sentiment shows this momentum64% of Latin American executives prepare to expand engagement with the Gulf, especially in agriculture, eco-friendly energy, and digital services. 4 Highlighting this momentum, Saudi Arabia recently opened its very first Chamber of Commerce office in Miami, further signaling the growing links in between Gulf capital and the Americas.