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To reverse a decade of deteriorating total element productivity, local labour market policy is shifting from easy task development to handling active labor force shifts. Governments and companies are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to equip workers for emerging roles. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style pathways are becoming more typical as companies incorporate AI tools into day-to-day workflows.
With oil costs forecasted to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local federal governments are heightening their focus on expense discipline and private capital mobilisation. Financial policy is pivoting towards the monetisation of state-owned assets in logistics, utilities, and desalination to reroute funds toward higher-impact financial investments. While loaning by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is expected to increase to fund strategic deficits, the focus remains on reinforcing non-oil income frameworks.
PwC Middle East economic policy and method partner Jing Teow said: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now concentrated on delivery. In 2026, the top priority is reinforcing financial strength through more protected trade and financial investment relationships, effective AI release, handled labor force transitions and disciplined fiscal policy in a more difficult and fragmented global environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's financial expansion in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, resistant domestic demand and renewed financial investment momentum, according to the current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to surpass most worldwide areas peers next year, with regional GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is projected to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and rising financial investment in innovation and AI-related facilities.
Oil revenues will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is anticipated to increase once again in the second half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it mentioned. Saudi Arabia will stay a major contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by commercial expansion and policy reforms, consisting of alleviated foreign ownership rules that aim to promote additional investment. The financial deficit is forecasted to broaden to 5.6% of GDP next year amid softer oil rates, while the current five-year lease freeze in Riyadh intends to reduce inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also placed for another strong year of performance, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourist, trade and financial services remain key growth drivers, supported by population growth and continual domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to get again in the 2nd half of 2026, complementing continuous financial investment in infrastructure, innovation and international trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook enhances how far the GCC has actually come in building diverse, resistant and worldwide competitive economies.
Ensuring Operational Excellence in the GCCScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Financial Expert and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are going into 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is gaining pace, supported by robust demand and increasing financial investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to gain from solid domestic principles, a sharp uplift in federal government spending and sustained diversity efforts.
What differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not simply the acceleration of technological modification, though that velocity is genuine, however rather a fundamental shift in how enterprises envisage their GCCs' function. The is anticipated to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this development masks a more profound improvement.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss obligation, and contribute to competitive differentiation. In 2026, the most effective GCCs will act like internal start-ups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with worldwide business outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most substantial strategic recalibration in the GCC model's development.
Today, we're convening more than 3000 meetings between financiers and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined value of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're uniting financiers, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the area, and what follows, including the growth and ongoing advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing role in international networks of capital and trade.
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